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I don't think it will mean much, but my pick is Federer in this match (they are knotted up in the first set as I type this). Overall, Federer holds a 15-1 record against Soderling with the only loss coming on clay. If Soderling beat him on hard court, then I think it would mean a little more. But, everyone knows this is not Roger's favorite surface. It would surprise me if either one of them got past Nadal in the semis though. I find it hard to write Federer off so easily, and certainly not because he has a hard time winning a championship on clay.
The match against Lopez was a phenomenal match, really spectacular.
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